Its not easy to grasp. It goes against our instincts.
But the fact is, despite the horror of the terrorist attacks on September
11, investing basics remain the same.
Our initial instinct is to bail out of the market, and
once out, stay out, especially as the market goes through steep declines
in the days and weeks following the attack. The personal trauma nearly
every American feels at the destruction and loss of life understandably
colors our financial judgment. But unless you are changing your core
reasons for investingretirement, college funding, passing wealth on to
heirsnow is not the time nor the reason to abruptly alter your
investment strategies, say many CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER
professionals.
CFP professionals and other investment experts have good
reason to counsel a calm, long-term outlook at such a time. Our economy
and our capital markets have repeatedly demonstrated their resiliency.
Consider a few of these examples.
These examples are not to say the market or the economy
will necessarily rebound as strongly or quickly within weeks or months
this time. The scope of the devastating attack on American soil has no
equivalent in our nations history. Compounding matters, the market has
been on an 18-month skid and the economy on the edge of a recession. Yet,
say financial planners, the market and the economy will recover, later if
not sooner, and that investors should hold on. Selling only locks in the
losses. Just as the good times of the late 1990s so many investors thought
would never end finally did end, so too will the bad times end.
Nonetheless, this could be a good time to reexamine your
portfolio, say planners.
First, ask yourself why you are in the market. Are you
investing for long-term goals such as retirement, college funding or
accumulating assets for your heirs? Are those goals still at least several
years away? If so, stick to your long-term strategies. You will likely
weather just fine any temporary downturns along the way. Automatic
investing can help keep emotions out of play. And an emergency fund with
enough cash to fund three or four months of bare-bones living expenses
also helps reduce the need or impulse to sell assets that might be down in
value.
What you should not be in the market for is the short
term. Investing in the market in the hope of making some extra bucks to
buy a car or make a down payment on a home within a year or two is not a
good idea because you may not recover from any losses in such a short
time.
This also is a good time to reexamine your portfolio to
see if you have the right investment mix to help weather a down market.
For example, being overloaded in a certain area such as stocks, or certain
types of stocks, makes the portfolio more vulnerable to large or sustained
declines, as has happened to many tech-heavy investors in the last year.
Also, ask yourself how worried you have become about your
portfolio since the attack. Investors with a long-term outlook and a
properly balanced portfolio are less likely to panic-sell. Excessive
worries may also indicate that you are invested in assets that are too
risky for your long-term needs.
You may need to sell some assets if your portfolio needs
serious readjustment or you need cash. However, consult with your
financial planner first. Now may not be the right time to make significant
changes, or you may have alternatives you havent thought of.
October 2001 This column is produced by the Financial
Planning Association, the membership organization for the financial
planning community, and is provided by McGuire & Co. LLP , a local
member in good standing of the FPA.