DONT DEPEND ON INHERITANCE TO FUND RETIREMENT
Baby boomers depending on an inheritance to help fund their
retirement may be putting their retirement at risk, warn many financial
planners and other retirement experts.
The headlines have been enticing for baby boomers. A 1993
study by two Cornell University economists estimated that $11 trillion ($14
trillion in 1999 dollars)[CLU article
in Heirs file] would pass to baby boomers between 1995 and 2045. Two
Boston College economists upped the ante to $41 trillion dollars spread over 55
years, and other estimates have ranged as high as $136 trillion! With money
like that waiting around the corner, why bother to save for retirement?
The reality is, baby boomers need to concentrate hard on
saving for their own retirement because large inheritances are not likely to
materialize for most boomers, say many retirement experts. They cite a variety of reasons for their
conclusions.
First, what inheritances do pass on will be highly unequal,
and will be spread out over decades. The Cornell economists estimated that the
average estate passed on would be worth $90,000hardly enough money to pay for
20 years of retirement.[Money Dec 1999,
p. 195; CLU Journal, both in Heirs file] But thats just an average.
Some heirs will receive considerably more, many will receive considerably less.
Experts estimate that 37 percent of the nations wealth is controlled by 5
percent of the households.[CLU Journal,
Heirs file] A study released in 2000 by the Federal Reserve Bank of
Cleveland calculated from a 1998 federal Survey of Consumer Finances that 92
percent of those people receiving inheritances received virtually nothing,
while a mere 1.6 percent received more than $100,000. Yet a study for AARP
found that over half of the leading edge of baby boomers expects to receive
an inheritance that will help fund their retirement. [Estate planning file]
Another factor likely to limit the amount of potential
inheritances is that todays older generations are living much longer than
previous generations. You may be well into retirement before receiving a
bequest. Furthermore, older generations are spending more of their accumulated
wealth, not only for basic expenses but for a more active retirement that might
include such activities as travel or entertainment. Longer lives also increase
the likelihood for long-term care, whose expenses can quickly eat into an
estate.
The study by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland also
contends that a significant portion of the wealth is annuitizedthat is, it is
being paid out in regular payments for retirement. Many of these payments will
end when the annuitant dies. Social Security benefits account for part of this,
but current retirees also are more likely than baby boomers to receive
retirement income from employer-sponsored defined-benefit plans. Payments from
these plans will stop when the annuitant dies. Baby boomers, on the other hand,
rely more on defined-contribution plans, whose accounts can be passed on when
the boomers die.
Furthermore, says the Federal Reserve study, though the
dollar amounts passed on may be larger than in previous generations, the
inheritances dont represent a greater share of the boomers economic resources
than the inheritances their parents received. That is, relative to their
earnings, boomers are receiving only slightly more than their parents did.
Experts also argue that todays retirees, especially
wealthier ones, are less inclined than previous generations to leave
substantial wealth to their heirs. Billionaires such as Warren Buffett have
made it clear they will give most of their money to charity, often in the
belief that their children should earn their wealth, not inherit it.
What will be your specific situation? Financial advisors
recommend that children talk over potential inheritances with their parents.
This can be a delicate subject: older people often dont like to talk about
their finances, and children may not want to appear greedy. Bringing in an
outside financial advisor to provide an objective third-party perspective can
be helpful.
Examine strategies that can minimize the financial loss on
an estate. For example, some baby boomers are buying long-term care insurance
for their parents so that expensive at-home or nursing home care doesnt drain
their estate. Furthermore, despite the possible repeal or reduction in estate
taxes, tax planning will still play a role in estate planning.
But the real key, say financial planners, is to not rely on
an inheritance to fund your retirement. It may not be there when you most need it.
April 2001 This column is produced by the
Financial Planning Association, the membership organization for the financial
planning community, and is provided by McGuire & Co., LLP, a local
member in good standing of the FPA.